Tennis · W35 Roehampton · 05/08, 11:00
Prediction: Alice Tubello vs Emily Appleton
Team pages: Alice Tubello · Emily Appleton
Prediction summary
Winner
Alice Tubello
Emily Appleton
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alice Tubello
8-2 (W-L)
Emily Appleton
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alice Tubello
2–0
Emily Appleton
(2 last)
- 10 Apr2-1 18-16W
- 12 Jan2-1 15-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alice Tubello 1560 · Emily Appleton 1510
| Alice Tubello | Emily Appleton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alice Tubello (rating 1560 vs 1510).
- Emily Appleton dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 42.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alice Tubello 2–0 Emily Appleton (2).
- Note: Emily Appleton makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Alice Tubello | Emily Appleton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.4 | 10.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Alice Tubello 2 – 0 Emily Appleton (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alice Tubello 2–0 Emily Appleton
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/23 ITF W60 Chiasso | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 12/01/19 ITF W15 Fort-de-France | 2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alice Tubello
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Caroline Werner WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Yufei Ren WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Lisa Pigato W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Julie Struplova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Andreea Prisacariu W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Emily Appleton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Edie Griffiths W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Brooke Black W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Oceane Dodin W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Indianna Spink W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Peyton Stearns WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Harmony Tan WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Tegan Bush WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alice Tubello vs Emily Appleton?
Our model gives 60% to Alice Tubello, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.