Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Henri Squire vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Henri Squire · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Henri Squire
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Henri Squire
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henri Squire 1559 · Alex Barrena 1498
| Henri Squire | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henri Squire (rating 1559 vs 1498).
- Note: Henri Squire makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Henri Squire | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.8 | 11.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 62% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henri Squire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Clement Tabur Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henri Squire vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 61% to Henri Squire, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.