Tennis · ATP Montreal · 05/08, 02:30
Prediction: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo
Team pages: Luciano Darderi · Gabriel Diallo
Prediction summary
Winner
Luciano Darderi
Gabriel Diallo
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Luciano Darderi
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriel Diallo
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luciano Darderi 1546 · Gabriel Diallo 1472
| Luciano Darderi | Gabriel Diallo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luciano Darderi (rating 1546 vs 1472).
- Gabriel Diallo dominates on serve: 8 aces and 57.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Luciano Darderi | Gabriel Diallo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.8 | 13.3-13.9 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 32.4% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luciano Darderi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Ethan Quinn Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Gabriel Diallo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Tristan Boyer ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 27-30 | L |
| 25/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/04 | Alexander Zverev ATP Munich · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Munich · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo?
Our model gives 53% to Luciano Darderi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.