Tennis · ATP Montreal · 05/08, 19:00
Prediction: Titouan Droguet vs Felix Auger Aliassime
Team pages: Titouan Droguet · Felix Auger Aliassime
Prediction summary
Winner
Titouan Droguet
Felix Auger Aliassime
Estimated games
27.4
Recent form · 10 last
Titouan Droguet
5-5 (W-L)
Felix Auger Aliassime
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Titouan Droguet
0–1
Felix Auger Aliassime
(1 last)
- 07 Feb1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Titouan Droguet 1567 · Felix Auger Aliassime 1577
| Titouan Droguet | Felix Auger Aliassime | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Felix Auger Aliassime dominates on serve: 16.4 aces and 40.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Titouan Droguet 0–1 Felix Auger Aliassime (1).
Statistics
| Titouan Droguet | Felix Auger Aliassime | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 2.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.7 | 18.5-14.9 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 16.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 82.2% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.4
H2H · Titouan Droguet 0 – 1 Felix Auger Aliassime (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Titouan Droguet 0–1 Felix Auger Aliassime
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 ATP Montpellier | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Felix Auger Aliassime
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 28-29 | L |
| 05/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-24 | W |
| 03/07 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Dino Prizmic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Learner Tien ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Titouan Droguet vs Felix Auger Aliassime?
Our model gives 67% to Felix Auger Aliassime, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.