Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 04/08, 18:30
Prediction: Tristan Schoolkate vs Soonwoo Kwon
Team pages: Tristan Schoolkate · Soonwoo Kwon
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Schoolkate
Soonwoo Kwon
Estimated games
25.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Schoolkate
5-5 (W-L)
Soonwoo Kwon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Schoolkate 1485 · Soonwoo Kwon 1577
| Tristan Schoolkate | Soonwoo Kwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soonwoo Kwon (rating 1485 vs 1577).
- Soonwoo Kwon is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Tristan Schoolkate | Soonwoo Kwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.9-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-13.2 | 14.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Schoolkate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 09/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Daniel Evans Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Johannus Monday Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Arthur Fery Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Darwin Blanch French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Martin Landaluce Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Arthur Gea Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Schoolkate vs Soonwoo Kwon?
Our model gives 66% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.