Tennis · M25 Southaven · 04/08, 16:00
Prediction: Alejandro Moreno vs Jon Gamble
Team pages: Alejandro Moreno · Jon Gamble
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moreno
Jon Gamble
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moreno
7-3 (W-L)
Jon Gamble
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moreno 1520 · Jon Gamble 1467
| Alejandro Moreno | Jon Gamble | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moreno (rating 1520 vs 1467).
- Alejandro Moreno is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alejandro Moreno | Jon Gamble | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.4 | 8-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 62% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 25% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Ethan Muza M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Adam Faragcao M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabe Avram UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jon Gamble
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Jerry Roddick M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Agustin Mastri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Nicholas Mekhael UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Matthew Dubas UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Daniil Berezin UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moreno vs Jon Gamble?
Our model gives 71% to Alejandro Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.