Tennis · M25 Londrina · 04/08, 23:30
Prediction: Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves
Team pages: Jose Pereira · Mateus Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Jose Pereira
Mateus Alves
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jose Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Mateus Alves
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jose Pereira
1–1
Mateus Alves
(2 last)
- 05 Feb1-2 11-16L
- 24 Jan2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jose Pereira 1500 · Mateus Alves 1554
| Jose Pereira | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mateus Alves (rating 1500 vs 1554).
- Mateus Alves dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 40.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Jose Pereira | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.2 | 12.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 75.8% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Jose Pereira 1 – 1 Mateus Alves (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jose Pereira 1–1 Mateus Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/20 ITF M15 Cancun | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/01/20 ITF M15 Cancun | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jose Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Murkel Dellien M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Campinas · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 06/04 | Natan Rodrigues Challenger Campinas · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/04 | Wilson Leite Challenger Campinas · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/03 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/03 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Mateus Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Wilson Leite M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Francisco Fontes Damorim M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/07 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Fons Van Sambeek Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves?
Our model gives 72% to Mateus Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.