Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 07/08, 02:00
Prediction: Marco Alvarez vs David Duong
Team pages: Marco Alvarez · David Duong
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Alvarez
David Duong
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Alvarez
4-6 (W-L)
David Duong
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Alvarez
0–1
David Duong
(1 last)
- 18 Jan0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Alvarez 1478 · David Duong 1545
| Marco Alvarez | David Duong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours David Duong (rating 1478 vs 1545).
- Head-to-head: Marco Alvarez 0–1 David Duong (1).
Statistics
| Marco Alvarez | David Duong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.9 | 13.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Marco Alvarez 0 – 1 David Duong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Alvarez 0–1 David Duong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/23 UTR Pro California | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Alvarez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Dominique Rolland UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Julian Borda M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Karl Kazuma Lee M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Avery Tallakson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Max K Fardanesh UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
David Duong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Dominique Rolland UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Avery Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Rishvanth Krishna UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Andy Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Evan Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Finn Willman UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | John Patrick Popowich UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Alvarez vs David Duong?
Our model gives 65% to David Duong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.