Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 08/08, 03:30

Prediction: Marco Alvarez vs Blake Anderson

Team pages: Marco Alvarez · Blake Anderson

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Marco Alvarez Blake Anderson
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Alvarez 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWLL
Blake Anderson 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marco Alvarez 1453 · Blake Anderson 1518
Marco AlvarezBlake Anderson
Our model41%59%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blake Anderson (rating 1453 vs 1518).
  • Blake Anderson is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Marco AlvarezBlake Anderson
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 33% (9) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.51.2-1.1
Games (G-P)8.8-11.810.5-11.1
Aces0.32.5
Double faults3.22.1
1st serve %57.9%62.6%
Break %34.2%38%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marco Alvarez

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 David Duong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
06/08 Dominique Rolland
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 10-15 L
05/08 Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
29/07 Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/07 Joaquin Guilleme
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
22/07 Darrshan Suresh
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
20/07 Julian Borda
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Karl Kazuma Lee
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 5-12 L
09/06 Avery Tallakson
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
1-2 12-12 L
17/05 Rohan Sachdev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Blake Anderson

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Dominique Rolland
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/08 Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
04/08 David Duong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 12-13 W
24/07 Jacob Brumm
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/07 Cayden Wang
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/07 Lawee Sherif
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/07 Aaron Eliscu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
23/11 August Brostroem Poulsen
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-1 15-18 W
22/11 Yashwin Krishnakumar
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
21/11 Tiago Pires
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marco Alvarez vs Blake Anderson?

Our model gives 57% to Blake Anderson, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.