Tennis · WTA Toronto · 05/08, 02:30
Prediction: Lanlana Tararudee vs Amanda Anisimova
Team pages: Lanlana Tararudee · Amanda Anisimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lanlana Tararudee
Amanda Anisimova
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lanlana Tararudee
8-2 (W-L)
Amanda Anisimova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanlana Tararudee 1623 · Amanda Anisimova 1535
| Lanlana Tararudee | Amanda Anisimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanlana Tararudee (rating 1623 vs 1535).
- Lanlana Tararudee is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Amanda Anisimova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Lanlana Tararudee | Amanda Anisimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.1 | 12.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanlana Tararudee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 21/07 | Jana Kovackova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Amanda Anisimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Iva Jovic WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/05 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/03 | Belinda Bencic WTA Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/03 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Miami · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanlana Tararudee vs Amanda Anisimova?
Our model gives 55% to Amanda Anisimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.