Tennis · W75 Leipzig · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Julie Pastikova vs Dayeon Back
Team pages: Julie Pastikova · Dayeon Back
Prediction summary
Winner
Julie Pastikova
Dayeon Back
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Julie Pastikova
6-4 (W-L)
Dayeon Back
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julie Pastikova 1524 · Dayeon Back 1593
| Julie Pastikova | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dayeon Back (rating 1524 vs 1593).
- Note: Julie Pastikova makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Julie Pastikova | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.1 | 10.2-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julie Pastikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Carolin Raschdorf W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Teodora Kostovic W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Franziska Sziedat W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Amstetten |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Julie Struplova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Britt Du Pree W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 23/06 | Federica Bilardo W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Dayeon Back
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Xinxin Yao W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Lea Nilsson W50 Horb |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Horb |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Madelief Hageman W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Sandra Samir W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julie Pastikova vs Dayeon Back?
Our model gives 54% to Dayeon Back, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.