Tennis · W100 Landisville · 04/08, 16:00

Prediction: Savannah Broadus vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko

Team pages: Savannah Broadus · Ekaterina Ovcharenko

Prediction summary
Winner
79% 21%
Savannah Broadus Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Savannah Broadus 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLLWWLW
Ekaterina Ovcharenko 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Savannah Broadus 1565 · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1445
Savannah BroadusEkaterina Ovcharenko
Our model67%33%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Savannah Broadus (rating 1565 vs 1445).
  • Savannah Broadus is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Savannah BroadusEkaterina Ovcharenko
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.80.8-1.5
Games (G-P)11.6-9.79.2-11.5
Aces43.5
Double faults2.95.8
1st serve %69.2%62.9%
Break %50.5%33.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Savannah Broadus

LWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Elena Ecker
W100 Landisville
2-0 12-1 W
31/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Lexington
0-2 9-13 L
30/07 Julia Zhu
W75 Lexington
2-0 12-6 W
29/07 Rachael Smith
W75 Lexington
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Caroline Dolehide
W100 Evansville
0-2 7-12 L
22/07 Taylah Preston
W100 Evansville
2-1 18-12 W
06/07 Lucrezia Stefanini
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/07 Ena Koike
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/07 Lea Ma
W100 Cary · ~Hard
1-0 13-12 W
03/07 Fangran Tian
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-1 15-14 W

Ekaterina Ovcharenko

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Tori Kinard
W100 Landisville
2-0 12-3 W
26/07 Ankita Raina
WTA Memphis · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/07 Hong Yi Cody Wong
W100 Evansville
0-2 1-12 L
14/07 Alexandra Vagramov
W75 Granby
1-2 17-20 L
05/07 Sahaja Yamalapalli
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
29/06 Maya Iyengar
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Alba Rey Garcia
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
25/05 Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
20/05 Nina Vargova
W75 Kosice · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L
19/05 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W75 Kosice · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Savannah Broadus vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?

Our model gives 79% to Savannah Broadus, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.