Tennis · W75 Koksijde · 05/08, 10:00

Prediction: Diletta Cherubini vs Tilwith Di Girolami

Team pages: Diletta Cherubini · Tilwith Di Girolami

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Diletta Cherubini Tilwith Di Girolami
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Diletta Cherubini 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWLL
Tilwith Di Girolami 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diletta Cherubini 1448 · Tilwith Di Girolami 1513
Diletta CherubiniTilwith Di Girolami
Our model41%59%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tilwith Di Girolami (rating 1448 vs 1513).
  • Tilwith Di Girolami is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Diletta CherubiniTilwith Di Girolami
Win %30%70%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.4-0.9
Games (G-P)8.8-11.511.3-9.4
Aces0.60.2
Double faults2.91.5
1st serve %53.9%59.1%
Break %42%49.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diletta Cherubini

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Daria Yesypchuk
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 6-12 L
22/07 Viola Turini
W75 Cordenons
0-2 6-13 L
21/07 Lea Boskovic
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-8 W
12/07 Gina Feistel
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
09/07 Jenny Lim
W75 The Hague
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Anna-Lena Friedsam
W75 The Hague
2-1 14-9 W
23/06 Maria Toma
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
14/06 Tatiana Pieri
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
05/06 Nastasja Schunk
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
04/06 Alice Rame
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Tilwith Di Girolami

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Maria Martinez Vaquero
W75 Koksijde
2-0 12-5 W
02/08 Sarah Van Emst
W75 Koksijde
2-0 12-7 W
30/07 Irina Balus
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Justina Mikulskyte
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-1 17-14 W
27/07 Yara Bartashevich
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-1 13-8 W
26/07 Romy De Baene
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Lola Giza
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 10-13 L
13/07 Anastasiya Zaparyniuk
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Zhibek Kulambayeva
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Briana Szabo
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diletta Cherubini vs Tilwith Di Girolami?

Our model gives 57% to Tilwith Di Girolami, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.