Tennis · W75 Koksijde · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Francesca Pace vs Margaux Maquet
Team pages: Francesca Pace · Margaux Maquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Pace
Margaux Maquet
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Pace
4-6 (W-L)
Margaux Maquet
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Pace 1461 · Margaux Maquet 1582
| Francesca Pace | Margaux Maquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Margaux Maquet (rating 1461 vs 1582).
- Margaux Maquet is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Pace | Margaux Maquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.5 | 12.4-7.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 72.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Jenny Lim W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Tatiana Pieri W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Eva Vedder WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 02/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoria Bosio WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Margaux Maquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Sofia Shapatava W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Fanny Pire W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Horb |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Victoria Pohle W50 Horb |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Zuzana Kudlackova W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Darya Velikova W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Pace vs Margaux Maquet?
Our model gives 58% to Margaux Maquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.