Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 05/08, 02:00
Prediction: Kate Mansfield vs Simone Kay
Team pages: Kate Mansfield · Simone Kay
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Mansfield
Simone Kay
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Mansfield
7-3 (W-L)
Simone Kay
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Mansfield 1488 · Simone Kay 1500
| Kate Mansfield | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kate Mansfield makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Kate Mansfield | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11 | 9-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 7.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Mansfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Gloriana Nahum W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 11/12 | Anastasia Efremova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Iva Ivanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/11 | Alessandra Mazzola ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/11 | Didi Bredberg Canizares ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Isabella Foshee W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jane Dunyon W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Salma Ewing W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Madeline Cleary W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Kelly Keller W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Theadora Rabman W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Angela Ho W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Mansfield vs Simone Kay?
Our model gives 63% to Kate Mansfield, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.