Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 06/08, 02:00
Prediction: Xavier Calvelo vs Jacob Brumm
Team pages: Xavier Calvelo · Jacob Brumm
Prediction summary
Winner
Xavier Calvelo
Jacob Brumm
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Xavier Calvelo
7-3 (W-L)
Jacob Brumm
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xavier Calvelo 1574 · Jacob Brumm 1520
| Xavier Calvelo | Jacob Brumm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xavier Calvelo (rating 1574 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Xavier Calvelo | Jacob Brumm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.2 | 11-8.7 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xavier Calvelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Holland Snell UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 18/07 | Benjamin Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Jacob Brumm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Brunkow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Joseph Nau UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Bryan Assi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/07 | Connor Robb-Wilcox UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Gabriel Porras UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xavier Calvelo vs Jacob Brumm?
Our model gives 65% to Xavier Calvelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.