Tennis · W100 Landisville · 05/08, 16:00

Prediction: Xiaodi You vs Ekaterine Gorgodze

Team pages: Ekaterine Gorgodze

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Xiaodi You Ekaterine Gorgodze
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Xiaodi You 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLLLWW
Ekaterine Gorgodze 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWL
Head-to-head
Xiaodi You 1–3 Ekaterine Gorgodze (4 last)
  • 19 Nov0-2 4-12L
  • 04 Nov1-2 10-13L
  • 12 May0-2 5-12L
  • 12 Aug2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xiaodi You 1441 · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1547
Xiaodi YouEkaterine Gorgodze
Our model35%65%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterine Gorgodze (rating 1441 vs 1547).
  • Ekaterine Gorgodze is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Xiaodi You 1–3 Ekaterine Gorgodze (4).
  • Note: Xiaodi You makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Xiaodi YouEkaterine Gorgodze
Win %30%80%
Win % · Clay 17% (6) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.7-0.7
Games (G-P)9.3-11.612-8.6
Aces4.30.7
Double faults4.30.8
1st serve %56.6%62.1%
Break %50.1%49.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

H2H · Xiaodi You 13 Ekaterine Gorgodze (4)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiaodi You 13 Ekaterine Gorgodze

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DateSetsGamesRes.
19/11/21
WTA Montevideo
0-24-12L
04/11/21
WTA Buenos Aires
1-210-13L
12/05/21
ITF W60 La Bisbal
0-25-12L
12/08/19
ITF W60 Concord
2-013-10W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xiaodi You

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/06 Leolia Jeanjean
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 11-16 L
16/06 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 11-13 L
09/06 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Modena · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Foggia · Clay
1-2 8-18 L
28/05 Lisa Zaar
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
27/05 Natalija Senic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
19/05 Francisca Jorge
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/05 En Shuo Liang
WTA Jiujiang · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
09/05 Xinxin Yao
WTA Jiujiang · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
08/05 Heather Watson
WTA Jiujiang · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Ekaterine Gorgodze

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
20/07 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 17-18 W
12/07 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 7-0 W
11/07 Teodora Kostovic
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 13-7 W
10/07 Julia Riera
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Valentina Steiner
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-3 W
07/07 Mia Pohankova
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-1 13-7 W
03/07 Julia Riera
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
02/07 Chloe Paquet
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-1 17-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xiaodi You vs Ekaterine Gorgodze?

Our model gives 52% to Ekaterine Gorgodze, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.