Tennis · W100 Landisville · 04/08, 18:00
Prediction: Mai Hontama vs Erika Andreeva
Team pages: Mai Hontama · Erika Andreeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Mai Hontama
Erika Andreeva
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mai Hontama
7-3 (W-L)
Erika Andreeva
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mai Hontama 1564 · Erika Andreeva 1489
| Mai Hontama | Erika Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mai Hontama (rating 1564 vs 1489).
- Mai Hontama is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mai Hontama | Erika Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9 | 9.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 59% |
| Break % | 56% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mai Hontama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Kayla Day WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Diane Parry WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Valentina Ryser WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Magda Linette WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Erika Andreeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Despina Papamichail WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yexin Ma Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Lea Boskovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mai Hontama vs Erika Andreeva?
Our model gives 62% to Mai Hontama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.