Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 04/08, 10:00
Prediction: Dominik Recek vs Diego Dedura-Palomero
Team pages: Dominik Recek · Diego Dedura-Palomero
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Recek
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Recek
6-4 (W-L)
Diego Dedura-Palomero
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Recek 1524 · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1596
| Dominik Recek | Diego Dedura-Palomero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diego Dedura-Palomero (rating 1524 vs 1596).
Statistics
| Dominik Recek | Diego Dedura-Palomero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.2 | 12.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Recek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Filippo Romano Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Wagner M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Luca Castagnola M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Tarek Erlewein M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Clement Tabur Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Recek vs Diego Dedura-Palomero?
Our model gives 76% to Diego Dedura-Palomero, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.