Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 04/08, 11:30
Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Tom Gentzsch
Team pages: Thiago Monteiro · Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Monteiro
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro
7-3 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1582 · Tom Gentzsch 1550
| Thiago Monteiro | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 49.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Thiago Monteiro | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.3 | 13.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 75% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Manuel Mazza Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Alberto Bronzetti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Flynn Thomas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 52% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.