Tennis · M15 Poprad · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Sebastian Sec
Team pages: Sebastian Sec
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Mashtakov
Sebastian Sec
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Sebastian Sec
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1565 · Sebastian Sec 1593
| Nikita Mashtakov | Sebastian Sec | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nikita Mashtakov | Sebastian Sec | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9 | 12.1-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Bor Artnak M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Sean Cuenin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Samuil Chestovaliev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Karlo Kajin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/05 | Maks Kasnikowski M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Sebastian Sec
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Stepan Baum M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Agustin Mastri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Junghee You UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Danial Rakhmatullayev UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Noah McDonald UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/06 | Maximillian Mroz UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Sebastian Sec?
Our model gives 62% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.