Tennis · M15 Poprad · 05/08, 09:30

Prediction: Tomas Lanik vs Karol Filar

Team pages: Tomas Lanik · Karol Filar

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Tomas Lanik Karol Filar
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Lanik 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWWL
Karol Filar 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tomas Lanik 1552 · Karol Filar 1521
Tomas LanikKarol Filar
Our model54%46%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Tomas LanikKarol Filar
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.4-1.1
Games (G-P)10.8-8.312.9-11.3
Aces5.62.4
Double faults2.42.4
1st serve %73.6%67.1%
Break %33.9%49%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tomas Lanik

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Marat Sharipov
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 2-10 L
22/07 Jan Hrazdil
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 12-2 W
21/07 Radovan Michalik
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Nicolas Parizzia
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-7 W
15/07 Dominik Kellovsky
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 14-11 W
14/07 Zeno Godi
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
24/06 Oskar Grzegorzewski
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Borys Zgola
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Karol Filar

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/06 Alan Wazny
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
25/06 Adam Majchrzak
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
24/06 Kacper Knitter
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
15/06 Alan Wazny
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
14/06 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
27/05 Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L
23/05 Dusan Obradovic
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
22/05 Nemanja Malesevic
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
21/05 Radovan Michalik
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
20/05 Nicolo Toffanin
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tomas Lanik vs Karol Filar?

Our model gives 55% to Karol Filar, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.