Tennis · M15 Poprad · 05/08, 09:30

Prediction: Leyton Rivera vs Jesse De Jager

Team pages: Leyton Rivera · Jesse De Jager

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Leyton Rivera Jesse De Jager
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Leyton Rivera 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLL
Jesse De Jager 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leyton Rivera 1494 · Jesse De Jager 1517
Leyton RiveraJesse De Jager
Our model47%53%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Leyton RiveraJesse De Jager
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.2-1
Games (G-P)10.8-11.110.3-8.5
Aces1.32.2
Double faults31.3
1st serve %65.3%70.9%
Break %45.4%48.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leyton Rivera

WWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Matic Kriznik
M15 Wels
0-2 5-13 L
21/07 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 5-12 L
11/07 Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Lodz
1-2 13-18 L
10/07 Jakub Jedrzejczak
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-6 W
09/07 Petr Michnev
M15 Lodz
2-0 14-11 W
08/07 Tomasz Berkieta
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Maximilian Figl
M15 Store
0-2 6-12 L
26/06 Stefan Seifert
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
25/06 Markus Molder
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
24/06 Kristjan Tamm
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Jesse De Jager

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Tom Sickenberger
M25 Wetzlar
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Niklas Grunewald
M25 Wetzlar
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Aaron Funk
M25 Metzingen
1-2 9-11 L
27/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
26/06 Sander Jong
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
24/06 Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/06 Stijn Hofman
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
02/06 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 7-10 L
28/03 Tim Handel
UTR Pro Monterol · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leyton Rivera vs Jesse De Jager?

Our model gives 58% to Jesse De Jager, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.