Tennis · M15 Poprad · 04/08, 09:30
Prediction: Matas Vasiliauskas vs Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
Team pages: Matas Vasiliauskas
Prediction summary
Winner
Matas Vasiliauskas
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matas Vasiliauskas
2-8 (W-L)
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matas Vasiliauskas 1423 · Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka 1501
| Matas Vasiliauskas | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka (rating 1423 vs 1501).
- Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Matas Vasiliauskas makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Matas Vasiliauskas | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.3-10.4 | 10.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 25.1% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matas Vasiliauskas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Evangelos Kypriotis M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 25/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 18/06 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Adhithya Ganesan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Asier Civera Martinez M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Fumin Jiang M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Valentin Faure M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Nik Mikovic M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Oriol Font M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Daniel Rincon M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 21/04 | Charles Bertimon M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/04 | Enzo Champigneulle M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/04 | Andrea M'chich M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/03 | Leo Lagarrigue M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matas Vasiliauskas vs Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka?
Our model gives 73% to Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.