Tennis · M15 Eupen · 05/08, 10:00

Prediction: Niklas Waldner vs Martin Van Der Meerschen

Team pages: Niklas Waldner · Martin Van Der Meerschen

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Niklas Waldner Martin Van Der Meerschen
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Niklas Waldner 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLWLLLL
Martin Van Der Meerschen 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niklas Waldner 1444 · Martin Van Der Meerschen 1555
Niklas WaldnerMartin Van Der Meerschen
Our model35%65%
Market16%84%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Van Der Meerschen (rating 1444 vs 1555).
  • Martin Van Der Meerschen is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Niklas WaldnerMartin Van Der Meerschen
Win %30%70%
Win % · Clay 0% (4) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.6-0.9
Games (G-P)9.4-11.712.4-10.8
Aces32.5
Double faults2.42.8
1st serve %65.1%71.5%
Break %46.2%50%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niklas Waldner

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Matthias Ujvary
M15 Wels
1-2 14-14 L
29/07 Iannis Miletich
M15 Wels
2-1 15-10 W
18/07 Laslo Djere
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Max Wiskandt
M25 Kramsach
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Jakub Vrtilka
M25 Kramsach
2-1 15-15 W
02/07 Marko Retelj
M15 Store
0-2 5-12 L
01/07 Matic Hribar
M15 Store
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
17/06 Louis Wessels
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
19/05 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Litija · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Martin Van Der Meerschen

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M15 Segrate
1-2 11-18 L
24/07 Michele Mecarelli
M15 Segrate
2-1 17-15 W
22/07 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M15 Segrate
2-0 13-8 W
21/07 Denis Constantin Spiridon
M15 Segrate
2-1 15-12 W
16/07 Lorenzo Beraldo
M15 Gubbio
1-2 13-17 L
15/07 Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Gubbio
2-0 12-4 W
06/07 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/07 Madhwin Kamath
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
24/05 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
23/05 Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niklas Waldner vs Martin Van Der Meerschen?

Our model gives 76% to Martin Van Der Meerschen, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.