Tennis · W15 Hameenlinna · 05/08, 11:00

Prediction: Cara Korhonen vs Rachel Gailis

Team pages: Cara Korhonen · Rachel Gailis

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Cara Korhonen Rachel Gailis
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Cara Korhonen 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWWWLL
Rachel Gailis 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cara Korhonen 1465 · Rachel Gailis 1459
Cara KorhonenRachel Gailis
Our model51%49%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Cara Korhonen makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Cara KorhonenRachel Gailis
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 38% (8) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.60.8-1.4
Games (G-P)8-11.27.8-9.9
Aces1.31.1
Double faults5.33.4
1st serve %56%56.8%
Break %39.5%32.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cara Korhonen

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Valentini Grammatikopoulou
W15 Savitaipale
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Marie Mettraux
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/07 Kitti Molnar
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
28/06 Given Roach
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
27/06 Diana Smolinskaya
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
26/06 Asuncion Jadue
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
25/06 Nikola Daubnerova
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
24/06 Hannah Read
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
22/06 Izabela Heinzova
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/03 Ha Eum Lee
W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Rachel Gailis

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
16/07 Yexin Ma
W35 Dallas
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Alexis Nguyen
W35 Dallas
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Christasha McNeil
W50 Columbus
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Kaitlyn Carnicella
W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Kaia Giribalan
W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-1 15-9 W
05/06 Kristina Penickova
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/06 Isabella Marton
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
03/06 Kenzie Nguyen
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
21/01 Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez
W35 Weston · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cara Korhonen vs Rachel Gailis?

Our model gives 68% to Rachel Gailis, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.