Tennis · W75 Koksijde · 04/08, 11:30

Prediction: Marie Weckerle vs Noemi Basiletti

Team pages: Noemi Basiletti

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Marie Weckerle Noemi Basiletti
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Weckerle 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLWLLLLL
Noemi Basiletti 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marie Weckerle 1421 · Noemi Basiletti 1531
Marie WeckerleNoemi Basiletti
Our model35%65%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noemi Basiletti (rating 1421 vs 1531).
  • Noemi Basiletti is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Marie Weckerle makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Marie WeckerleNoemi Basiletti
Win %20%60%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.61.4-0.8
Games (G-P)7.4-10.710.9-7.7
Aces0.80.2
Double faults5.81.9
1st serve %53.3%61%
Break %53.2%61.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marie Weckerle

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Despina Papamichail
W50 Knokke-Heist
1-2 11-12 L
22/07 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Gentofte
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W35 Torino
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Isis Louise Van den Broek
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Sonja Zhenikhova
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
20/06 Masa Prijovic
Billie Jean King Cup
2-0 12-3 W
18/06 Elena Malygina
Billie Jean King Cup
0-2 4-12 L
17/06 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Billie Jean King Cup
0-2 5-12 L
13/06 Valentina Steiner
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
12/06 Leonie Schuknecht
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Noemi Basiletti

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Fiona Ferro
W75 Hechingen
0-2 5-12 L
29/07 Emily Eigelsbach
W75 Hechingen
2-0 12-2 W
23/07 Mina Hodzic
WTA Palermo · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
21/07 Raluca Georgiana Serban
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Isabella Shinikova
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 13-5 W
18/07 Laura Boehner
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Danka Kovinic
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 12-13 L
12/07 Anastasia Abbagnato
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
25/06 Federica Trevisan
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marie Weckerle vs Noemi Basiletti?

Our model gives 75% to Noemi Basiletti, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.