Tennis · W75 Koksijde · 04/08, 10:00
Prediction: Federica Urgesi vs Amelie Van Impe
Team pages: Federica Urgesi · Amelie Van Impe
Prediction summary
Winner
Federica Urgesi
Amelie Van Impe
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Urgesi
5-5 (W-L)
Amelie Van Impe
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Urgesi 1510 · Amelie Van Impe 1529
| Federica Urgesi | Amelie Van Impe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Federica Urgesi | Amelie Van Impe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.4 | 12.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Urgesi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Barbora Palicova W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Diana Martynov W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Amelie Van Impe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Martha Matoula W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Carolina Kuhl W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Lauren Seye W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 03/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Juliette Trunet W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Margaux Maquet W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Celia Anson Sanchez W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Urgesi vs Amelie Van Impe?
Our model gives 60% to Federica Urgesi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.