Tennis · W75 Leipzig · 04/08, 10:00

Prediction: Tina Manescu vs Laura Mair

Team pages: Tina Manescu · Laura Mair

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Tina Manescu Laura Mair
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tina Manescu 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLWLLLWL
Laura Mair 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tina Manescu 1447 · Laura Mair 1537
Tina ManescuLaura Mair
Our model37%63%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Mair (rating 1447 vs 1537).
  • Laura Mair is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Tina Manescu makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Tina ManescuLaura Mair
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.51.3-0.8
Games (G-P)8.6-11.39.4-9.2
Aces0.70.8
Double faults4.63.6
1st serve %48.1%64.3%
Break %56.6%54.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tina Manescu

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Franziska Sziedat
W100 Amstetten
0-2 3-12 L
19/07 Viktoria Veleva
W100 Amstetten
2-0 12-5 W
13/07 Annemarie Lazar
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 6-12 L
07/07 Tena Lukas
W100 Aschaffenburg
1-2 11-13 L
06/07 Weronika Ewald
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-1 16-11 W
29/06 Lidia Encheva
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
25/06 Josy Daems
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
24/06 Leonie Schuknecht
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/06 Adrienn Nagy
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
28/04 Charlotte Pikkaart
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Laura Mair

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Emma Lene
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 2-12 L
26/07 Victoria Vidal
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 11-2 W
21/07 Aneta Kucmova
W100 Amstetten
1-2 11-18 L
19/06 Berta Passola
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 5-10 L
18/06 Iva Ivankovic
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
17/06 Kailey Evans
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
12/06 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
11/06 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Alice Rame
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
08/06 Sara Mikaca
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tina Manescu vs Laura Mair?

Our model gives 68% to Laura Mair, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.