Tennis · W75 Leipzig · 04/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lisa Zaar vs Nastasja Schunk
Team pages: Lisa Zaar · Nastasja Schunk
Prediction summary
Winner
Lisa Zaar
Nastasja Schunk
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lisa Zaar
5-5 (W-L)
Nastasja Schunk
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Zaar 1447 · Nastasja Schunk 1562
| Lisa Zaar | Nastasja Schunk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nastasja Schunk (rating 1447 vs 1562).
- Nastasja Schunk is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lisa Zaar | Nastasja Schunk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-13.1 | 12.2-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 51.6% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Zaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Elena Malygina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Iva Ivanova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Nastasja Schunk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Xinxin Yao W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Mathilde Lollia W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Tamara Zidansek W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Zaar vs Nastasja Schunk?
Our model gives 64% to Nastasja Schunk, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.