Tennis · W75 Leipzig · 04/08, 10:00
Prediction: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Chloe Paquet
Team pages: Andrea Lazaro Garcia · Chloe Paquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Chloe Paquet
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
4-6 (W-L)
Chloe Paquet
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
2–2
Chloe Paquet
(4 last)
- 02 Jul2-1 18-17W
- 09 Apr0-2 7-12L
- 06 May2-0 12-5W
- 19 Mar1-2 14-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1496 · Chloe Paquet 1489
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.9 | 10.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 2 – 2 Chloe Paquet (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 2–2 Chloe Paquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/25 ITF W75 Bucharest | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/04/25 ITF W100 Zaragoza | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05/22 ITF W60 Koper | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/03/19 ITF W25 Curitiba | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Nadia Podoroska W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Nuria Brancaccio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Julia Grabher WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Simona Waltert WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/05 | Jennifer Ruggeri W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Chloe Paquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Britt Du Pree W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Chloe Paquet?
Our model gives 59% to Andrea Lazaro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.