Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 05/08, 04:00

Prediction: Thasaporn Naklo vs Ruien Zhang

Team pages: Thasaporn Naklo · Ruien Zhang

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Thasaporn Naklo Ruien Zhang
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Thasaporn Naklo 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWLWW
Ruien Zhang 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thasaporn Naklo 1522 · Ruien Zhang 1487
Thasaporn NakloRuien Zhang
Our model55%45%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Thasaporn Naklo makes many double faults (4/match).
  • Note: Ruien Zhang makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Thasaporn NakloRuien Zhang
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.2-10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)11.4-9.59.6-10.9
Aces3.80.8
Double faults44.7
1st serve %66.9%59.5%
Break %50.8%56.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thasaporn Naklo

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Ikumi Yamazaki
W15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
09/07 Alexandra Malova
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
25/06 Dayeon Back
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/06 Yuno Kitahara
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
19/06 Yuno Kitahara
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
18/06 Yuki Naito
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/06 Gyeong Seo Lee
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Naomi Xu
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
09/06 Sae Noguchi
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
15/05 Gyeong Seo Lee
W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Ruien Zhang

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Han Shi
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 10-15 L
15/07 Tiphanie Lemaitre
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-1 16-11 W
13/07 Alba Maria Coromina Boluda
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-3 W
12/07 Jordina Font
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-7 W
18/06 Nadia Podoroska
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/06 Anastasia Abbagnato
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
10/06 Nadia Podoroska
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
26/05 Oceane Babel
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
19/05 Katerina Mandelikova
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
08/04 Sofya Lansere
W35 Anning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thasaporn Naklo vs Ruien Zhang?

Our model gives 55% to Thasaporn Naklo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.