Tennis · WTA Toronto · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakova
Team pages: Kamilla Rakhimova · Katerina Siniakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Kamilla Rakhimova
Katerina Siniakova
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kamilla Rakhimova
2-8 (W-L)
Katerina Siniakova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kamilla Rakhimova
1–2
Katerina Siniakova
(3 last)
- 11 Oct1-2 11-18L
- 28 Feb2-1 16-18W
- 31 Dec0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamilla Rakhimova 1479 · Katerina Siniakova 1502
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kamilla Rakhimova 1–2 Katerina Siniakova (3).
- Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 43% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.7 | 10.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 69% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.3
Over 20.5: 66% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 34% · 1.83
H2H · Kamilla Rakhimova 1 – 2 Katerina Siniakova (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamilla Rakhimova 1–2 Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/23 WTA Hong Kong | 1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 28/02/23 WTA Monterrey | 2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 31/12/22 WTA Adelaide | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamilla Rakhimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Venus Williams WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Heather Watson WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Anhelina Kalinina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Karolina Muchova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Qinwen Zheng Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Yue Yuan WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Victoria Mboko French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Simona Waltert French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/05 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakova?
Our model gives 59% to Katerina Siniakova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.