Tennis · W75 Koksijde · 03/08, 15:30
Prediction: Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Tilwith Di Girolami
Team pages: Maria Martinez Vaquero · Tilwith Di Girolami
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Tilwith Di Girolami
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Martinez Vaquero
5-5 (W-L)
Tilwith Di Girolami
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Martinez Vaquero 1495 · Tilwith Di Girolami 1557
| Maria Martinez Vaquero | Tilwith Di Girolami | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tilwith Di Girolami (rating 1495 vs 1557).
- Tilwith Di Girolami is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Martinez Vaquero makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Maria Martinez Vaquero | Tilwith Di Girolami | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.5 | 11.3-9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Julie Myatovic W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Nahia Berecoechea W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Allura Zamarripa WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Shuo Feng WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Tilwith Di Girolami
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Sarah Van Emst W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Irina Balus W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Yara Bartashevich W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Romy De Baene W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Lola Giza W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Anastasiya Zaparyniuk W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Briana Szabo W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Jinte de Boer W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Tilwith Di Girolami?
Our model gives 54% to Tilwith Di Girolami, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.