Tennis · M15 Poprad · 03/08, 10:30
Prediction: Stepan Baum vs Sebastian Sec
Team pages: Stepan Baum · Sebastian Sec
Prediction summary
Winner
Stepan Baum
Sebastian Sec
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Stepan Baum
5-5 (W-L)
Sebastian Sec
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stepan Baum 1476 · Sebastian Sec 1587
| Stepan Baum | Sebastian Sec | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sec (rating 1476 vs 1587).
- Sebastian Sec is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Stepan Baum | Sebastian Sec | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.6 | 11.9-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stepan Baum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Facundo Yunis M15 Wels |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Store |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Oskar Jansson M15 Store |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nikola Slavic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Nico Hipfl M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/03 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 28/03 | Nicola Ion UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Sebastian Sec
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Agustin Mastri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Junghee You UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Danial Rakhmatullayev UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Noah McDonald UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/06 | Maximillian Mroz UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Santiago Giamichelle UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stepan Baum vs Sebastian Sec?
Our model gives 60% to Sebastian Sec, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.