Tennis · W75 Koksijde · 03/08, 14:00
Prediction: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Alba Rey Garcia
Team pages: Lucie Nguyen Tan · Alba Rey Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Alba Rey Garcia
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Nguyen Tan
6-4 (W-L)
Alba Rey Garcia
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucie Nguyen Tan
1–0
Alba Rey Garcia
(1 last)
- 11 Mar2-1 15-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1520 · Alba Rey Garcia 1465
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Alba Rey Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucie Nguyen Tan (rating 1520 vs 1465).
- Head-to-head: Lucie Nguyen Tan 1–0 Alba Rey Garcia (1).
Statistics
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Alba Rey Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-8.9 | 8.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1 – 0 Alba Rey Garcia (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1–0 Alba Rey Garcia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 W15 Gonesse | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Nguyen Tan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Maria Andrienko W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Yana Morderger WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Zoe Ulrich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Alba Rey Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Seda Baslilar W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorena Solar Donoso W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Carolina Kuhl W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Jennifer Ruggeri W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Celia Anson Sanchez W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Alba Rey Garcia?
Our model gives 64% to Lucie Nguyen Tan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.