Prediction: Lorenzo Rottoli vs Gianmarco Ferrari
Team pages: Lorenzo Rottoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Rottoli
Gianmarco Ferrari
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Rottoli
5-5 (W-L)
Gianmarco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Rottoli 1476 · Gianmarco Ferrari 1534
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gianmarco Ferrari (rating 1476 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.2 | 11.2-10 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 48% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Denis Klok M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Jan Wygona M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Gianmarco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Gabriele Bosio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Oliver Crawford M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Lucio Ratti M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Rottoli vs Gianmarco Ferrari?
Our model gives 63% to Gianmarco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.