Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 03/08, 14:00
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Nicolas Kicker
Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Nicolas Kicker
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Nicolas Kicker
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
3-7 (W-L)
Nicolas Kicker
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1507 · Nicolas Kicker 1529
| Maxim Mrva | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maxim Mrva makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12 | 11.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Nick Mertgens Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Nicolas Kicker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Yannik Weissmann Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Federico Coria Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Nicolas Kicker?
Our model gives 57% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.