Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 03/08, 12:30
Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Tommaso Compagnucci
Team pages: Thiago Monteiro · Tommaso Compagnucci
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Monteiro
Tommaso Compagnucci
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro
7-3 (W-L)
Tommaso Compagnucci
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1545 · Tommaso Compagnucci 1566
| Thiago Monteiro | Tommaso Compagnucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Thiago Monteiro | Tommaso Compagnucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.2 | 10.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Manuel Mazza Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Alberto Bronzetti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Flynn Thomas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Tommaso Compagnucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Huszar M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francesco Giuseppe Colasanto Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Tommaso Compagnucci?
Our model gives 62% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.