Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 03/08, 11:00

Prediction: Dominik Recek vs Marko Topo

Team pages: Dominik Recek · Marko Topo

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Dominik Recek Marko Topo
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Recek 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLLLLW
Marko Topo 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dominik Recek 1490 · Marko Topo 1519
Dominik RecekMarko Topo
Our model46%54%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Dominik RecekMarko Topo
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-11.1-1.1
Games (G-P)9.5-9.611-11
Aces3.94.8
Double faults1.12.4
1st serve %68.3%65.9%
Break %43.2%47.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dominik Recek

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Filippo Romano
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
26/07 Khumoyun Sultanov
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/07 Lasse Poertner
M25 Metzingen
0-2 3-12 L
14/07 Alexander Wagner
M25 Kramsach
0-2 9-13 L
11/07 Max Wiskandt
M25 Kassel
0-2 9-13 L
10/07 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Kassel
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Iannis Miletich
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Luca Castagnola
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-4 W
06/07 Tarek Erlewein
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Aryan Shah
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Marko Topo

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Elmer Moller
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
27/07 Valerio Aboian
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
26/07 Leonardo Rossi
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Alexander Donski
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
14/07 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Umag · Clay
1-2 16-19 L
12/07 Lukas Neumayer
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
01/07 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
30/06 Leo Raquillet
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
24/06 Martin Krumich
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dominik Recek vs Marko Topo?

Our model gives 69% to Marko Topo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.