Tennis · WTA Toronto · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Alina Korneeva vs Polina Kudermetova
Team pages: Alina Korneeva · Polina Kudermetova
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Korneeva
Polina Kudermetova
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Korneeva
5-5 (W-L)
Polina Kudermetova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alina Korneeva
0–1
Polina Kudermetova
(1 last)
- 06 Jan0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Korneeva 1541 · Polina Kudermetova 1541
| Alina Korneeva | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alina Korneeva 0–1 Polina Kudermetova (1).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Alina Korneeva | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.2 | 12-11.2 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.5
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Alina Korneeva 0 – 1 Polina Kudermetova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alina Korneeva 0–1 Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/26 WTA Canberra | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Korneeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexandra Shubladze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Martyna Kubka WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Avery Alexander WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Liv Boulard WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Clervie Ngounoue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Korneeva vs Polina Kudermetova?
Our model gives 60% to Alina Korneeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.