Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 03/08, 09:00
Prediction: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Paul Inchauspe
Team pages: Petr Bar Biryukov · Paul Inchauspe
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Bar Biryukov
Paul Inchauspe
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Bar Biryukov
5-5 (W-L)
Paul Inchauspe
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Bar Biryukov 1512 · Paul Inchauspe 1572
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Paul Inchauspe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Inchauspe (rating 1512 vs 1572).
- Petr Bar Biryukov dominates on serve: 11.1 aces and 44.5% break avg.
- Note: Petr Bar Biryukov makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Paul Inchauspe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.7 | 12.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 11.1 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Bar Biryukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Roman Safiullin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 05/06 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Paul Inchauspe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 22/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Bar Biryukov vs Paul Inchauspe?
Our model gives 64% to Paul Inchauspe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.