Tennis · W75 Leipzig · 02/08, 12:30

Prediction: Katerina Mandelikova vs Valeriya Strakhova

Team pages: Katerina Mandelikova · Valeriya Strakhova

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Katerina Mandelikova Valeriya Strakhova
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Mandelikova 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLLWLWW
Valeriya Strakhova 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katerina Mandelikova 1481 · Valeriya Strakhova 1449
Katerina MandelikovaValeriya Strakhova
Our model55%45%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Katerina Mandelikova makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Katerina MandelikovaValeriya Strakhova
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31-1.4
Games (G-P)10-10.610.1-11.6
Aces10.7
Double faults42
1st serve %57.6%58.4%
Break %55.8%43.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katerina Mandelikova

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Emma Slavikova
W15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 18-18 L
29/07 Zuzanna Kolonus
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 9-1 W
21/07 Lian Tran
W50 Horb
0-2 8-12 L
20/07 Laetitia Pulchartova
W50 Horb
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Aneta Laboutkova
W75 Olomouc
1-2 6-15 L
02/07 Valeriia Artemeva
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
01/07 Valentina Ivanov
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
30/06 Lora Kardos
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
04/06 Katerina Tsygourova
W15 Osijek · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
20/05 Giorgia Pedone
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Valeriya Strakhova

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Marie Mattel
W50 Knokke-Heist
1-2 11-16 L
19/07 Chloe Paquet
WTA Hamburg · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
06/07 Miriam Bulgaru
WTA Bastad · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Alena Kovackova
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 9-12 L
17/06 Elena Korokozidi
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
1-2 11-18 L
08/06 Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
07/06 Olivia Gram
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/06 Mina Hodzic
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
31/05 Carlotta Bassotti
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Elena Milovanovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katerina Mandelikova vs Valeriya Strakhova?

Our model gives 55% to Valeriya Strakhova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.