Tennis · W75 Leipzig · 02/08, 15:30
Prediction: Julie Pastikova vs Carolin Raschdorf
Team pages: Julie Pastikova · Carolin Raschdorf
Prediction summary
Winner
Julie Pastikova
Carolin Raschdorf
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Julie Pastikova
6-4 (W-L)
Carolin Raschdorf
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julie Pastikova 1522 · Carolin Raschdorf 1455
| Julie Pastikova | Carolin Raschdorf | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julie Pastikova (rating 1522 vs 1455).
- Julie Pastikova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Julie Pastikova makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Carolin Raschdorf makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Julie Pastikova | Carolin Raschdorf | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.4 | 10.3-13.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julie Pastikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Teodora Kostovic W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Franziska Sziedat W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Amstetten |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Julie Struplova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Britt Du Pree W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 23/06 | Federica Bilardo W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Victoria Bosio W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Weronika Ewald W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Carolin Raschdorf
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Nagi Hanatani W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Fiona Ganz W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Brenda Fruhvirtova W50 Horb |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Georgina Groth W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Sina Herrmann W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Kamila Neradova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/05 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Sara Dols W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julie Pastikova vs Carolin Raschdorf?
Our model gives 74% to Julie Pastikova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.