Tennis · M25 Roehampton · 02/08, 14:00
Prediction: William Jansen vs Kyle Overmyer
Team pages: William Jansen
Prediction summary
Winner
William Jansen
Kyle Overmyer
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
William Jansen
3-7 (W-L)
Kyle Overmyer
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Jansen 1527 · Kyle Overmyer 1400
| William Jansen | Kyle Overmyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours William Jansen (rating 1527 vs 1400).
- William Jansen is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| William Jansen | Kyle Overmyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12 | 8.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 61% |
| Break % | 33% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Jansen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Louis Bowden M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Karim Bennani M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Keaton Hance M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Joshua Peck M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Kyle Overmyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 11/06 | Marcel Latak M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/02 | Andre Souza M25 San Jose |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 01/02 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/12 | Vlad Cristian Breazu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/12 | Keenan Mayo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/12 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/12 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Jansen vs Kyle Overmyer?
Our model gives 80% to William Jansen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.