Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Max Schoenhaus vs Jan Choinski
Team pages: Max Schoenhaus · Jan Choinski
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Schoenhaus
Jan Choinski
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Max Schoenhaus
6-4 (W-L)
Jan Choinski
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Schoenhaus 1504 · Jan Choinski 1629
| Max Schoenhaus | Jan Choinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Choinski (rating 1504 vs 1629).
- Jan Choinski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Max Schoenhaus | Jan Choinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.1 | 12.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 5 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 73% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Schoenhaus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Learner Tien ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Mika Petkovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Jan Choinski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Schoenhaus vs Jan Choinski?
Our model gives 69% to Jan Choinski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.