Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Elmer Moller vs Jamie Mackenzie
Team pages: Elmer Moller · Jamie Mackenzie
Prediction summary
Winner
Elmer Moller
Jamie Mackenzie
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Elmer Moller
6-4 (W-L)
Jamie Mackenzie
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elmer Moller
0–1
Jamie Mackenzie
(1 last)
- 29 Jul1-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elmer Moller 1521 · Jamie Mackenzie 1553
| Elmer Moller | Jamie Mackenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elmer Moller 0–1 Jamie Mackenzie (1).
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Elmer Moller | Jamie Mackenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.2 | 12.5-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Elmer Moller 0 – 1 Jamie Mackenzie (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elmer Moller 0–1 Jamie Mackenzie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/26 Challenger Bonn | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elmer Moller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Thomas Faurel ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Luca Potenza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Andy Andrade Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Jamie Mackenzie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Tomas Farjat M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alex Bolt ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Vic |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Jack Loge M25 Vic |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elmer Moller vs Jamie Mackenzie?
Our model gives 54% to Elmer Moller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.