Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas
Team pages: Max Houkes · Vilius Gaubas
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Houkes
Vilius Gaubas
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes
7-3 (W-L)
Vilius Gaubas
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Houkes
2–0
Vilius Gaubas
(2 last)
- 26 Mar2-1 19-17W
- 24 Mar2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1501 · Vilius Gaubas 1496
| Max Houkes | Vilius Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Max Houkes 2–0 Vilius Gaubas (2).
Statistics
| Max Houkes | Vilius Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.1 | 12-12.7 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
H2H · Max Houkes 2 – 0 Vilius Gaubas (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Houkes 2–0 Vilius Gaubas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 Challenger Alicante | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 24/03/23 ITF M25 Palmanova | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Houkes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Stefan Popovic M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Vilius Gaubas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas?
Our model gives 59% to Vilius Gaubas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.