Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Niels McDonald vs Jerome Kym
Team pages: Niels McDonald · Jerome Kym
Prediction summary
Winner
Niels McDonald
Jerome Kym
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Niels McDonald
4-6 (W-L)
Jerome Kym
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Niels McDonald
0–1
Jerome Kym
(1 last)
- 02 Aug1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels McDonald 1492 · Jerome Kym 1542
| Niels McDonald | Jerome Kym | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerome Kym (rating 1492 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Niels McDonald 0–1 Jerome Kym (1).
- Note: Niels McDonald makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Niels McDonald | Jerome Kym | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.6-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.1 | 15-14.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 78.8% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
H2H · Niels McDonald 0 – 1 Jerome Kym (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Niels McDonald 0–1 Jerome Kym
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 Challenger Hagen | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels McDonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Jerome Kym
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Jay Clarke Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 11/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 28-27 | L |
| 24/06 | August Holmgren Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels McDonald vs Jerome Kym?
Our model gives 67% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.