Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy Sachko
Team pages: Lorenzo Giustino · Vitaliy Sachko
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Giustino
Vitaliy Sachko
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Giustino
8-2 (W-L)
Vitaliy Sachko
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Giustino
1–0
Vitaliy Sachko
(1 last)
- 03 Apr2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Giustino 1508 · Vitaliy Sachko 1503
| Lorenzo Giustino | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Giustino 1–0 Vitaliy Sachko (1).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Giustino | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.3 | 11.3-11 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 42% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Lorenzo Giustino 1 – 0 Vitaliy Sachko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Giustino 1–0 Vitaliy Sachko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/24 Challenger Barcelona | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Giustino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nico Hipfl ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Vitaliy Sachko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Federico Coria ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy Sachko?
Our model gives 56% to Vitaliy Sachko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.